New Zealand v Wales (Sat)

　　

　　Alun Wyn Jones hopes Wales can get to New Zealand fly-half Dan Carter

　　Wales face New Zealand at Carisbrook on Saturday aiming for their first win against the All Blacks since 1953.

　　Gavin Thomas returns to take on New Zealand captain and openside flanker Richie McCaw while Andrew Bishop is in for James Hook (shoulder) at centre.

　　Gethin Jenkins, Shane Williams and Martyn Williams are also absent, but Alun Wyn Jones takes over from Deiniol Jones at lock for Wales.

　　For New Zealand, Victor Vito takes over in the back row from Jerome Kaino.

　　The All Blacks go into the clash in the wake of last weekend's 66-28 drubbing of Ireland, who were reduced to 13 men at one stage as Ronan O'Gara's sin-binning followed Jamie Heaslip's sending off.

　　The previous weekend, Wales led South Africa 16-3 at the Millennium Stadium, but went on to lose 34-31.

　　Wales coach Warren Gatland has told Wales to have self-belief at Dunedin as they hope to end a 21-match losing streak that started in 1963 in Cardiff, where New Zealand won 6-0.

　　Since that game, the All Blacks have scored 91 tries to Wales' 14 in the games between them, with the tourists having conceded 33 on New Zealand soil while scoring just three in five Tests.

　　Wales have also been on the losing end three other times to New Zealand in the southern hemisphere.

　　The All Blacks ran in eight tries-to-one in a 49-6 win at the 1987 World Cup in Australia and three more without reply at the 1995 event in South Africa where Wales lost 34-9.

　　Even in 2003 in Australia, in a game lauded by Welsh fans among their team's most memorable performances in the professional era, the team coached by current All Blacks assistant Steve Hansen came off second best by eight-tries-to-four in a 53-37 loss.

　　

　　606: DEBATE

　　The area where we are really behind New Zealand is the back row, but if our tight five can somehow get them onto their heels it might be a competitive game

　　Surreytaff

　　But Gatland can at least point to a less worrying trend during his tenure. Wales conceded two tries-to-none under the Kiwi in Cardiff in November 2008 and only one when they lost 19-12 at the Millennium Stadium earlier this season.

　　Wales captain Ryan Jones is keen to heed Gatland's words going into the clash at Carisbrook, an iconic venue in All Blacks history which will be staging its final international rugby match.

　　Pointing to under-strength France's success in New Zealand a year ago, Gatland said: "It wasn't until I left New Zealand that it dawned on me how difficult it is for any touring side to come here and give a performance and get a result.

　　"Perhaps the only country that's been able to do that - and they did that recently - and come with that air of confidence is France.

　　"You've got to come here and back yourself and have that belief and confidence that you can come down here and perform."

　　

　　We are expecting real intensity and physicality this weekend, which has been the hallmark of All Blacks-Wales matches in recent years

　　All Blacks coach Graham Henry

　　Jones said: "I think there's quite a bit of experience here. If you haven't faced the All Blacks in their own back yard - a lot of the guys have played them - they know what the challenge is.

　　"I think Warren's alluded to it. We saw glimpses of a fantastic All Blacks team on the weekend and we've got to be on the money come Saturday and give ourselves a chance."

　　However, All Blacks boss Graham Henry hopes his side can give Carisbrook a winning send-off.

　　He said: "We are expecting real intensity and physicality this weekend, which has been the hallmark of All Blacks-Wales matches in recent years.

　　"Carisbrook is an iconic ground that has hosted some marvellous rugby games over the years.

　　"It will be a special occasion and the All Blacks are delighted to be part of the celebrations to mark the final Test at the Brook."

　　Wales complete their two-Test tour against New Zealand at Waikato Stadium, Hamilton on 26 June.

　　New Zealand: Israel Dagg (Highlanders); Cory Jane (Hurricanes), Conrad Smith (Hurricanes), Benson Stanley (Blues), Joe Rokocoko (Blues); Daniel Carter (Crusaders), Jimmy Cowan (Highlanders); Ben Franks (Crusaders), Keven Mealamu (Blues), Owen Franks (Crusaders), Brad Thorn (Crusaders), Anthony Boric (Blues), Victor Vito (Hurricanes), Richie McCaw (Crusaders, capt), Kieran Read (Crusaders).

　　Replacements: Aled de Malmanche (Chiefs), Tony Woodcock (Blues), Sam Whitelock (Crusaders), Adam Thomson (Highlanders), Piri Weepu (Hurricanes), Aaron Cruden (Hurricanes), Richard Kahui (Chiefs).

　　Wales: Lee Byrne (Ospreys); Leigh Halfpenny (Cardiff Blues), Andrew Bishop (Ospreys), Jamie Roberts (Blues), Tom Prydie (Ospreys); Stephen Jones (Scarlets), Mike Phillips (Ospreys); Paul James (Ospreys), Matthew Rees (Scarlets), Adam Jones (Ospreys), Bradley Davies (Blues), Alun Wyn Jones (Ospreys), Jonathan Thomas (Ospreys), Gavin Thomas (Newport Gwent Dragons), Ryan Jones (capt).

　　Replacements: Huw Bennett (Ospreys), John Yapp (Blues), Deiniol Jones (Blues), Rob McCusker (Scarlets), Tavis Knoyle (Scarlets), Dan Biggar (Ospreys), Jonathan Davies (Scarlets).

　　Wales tour squad:

　　Forwards: Bradley Davies, Deiniol Jones, John Yapp (all Cardiff Blues), Huw Bennett, Paul James, Adam Jones, Ian Gough, Alun Wyn Jones, Ryan Jones (capt), Jonathan Thomas, Craig Mitchell (all Ospreys), Rob McCusker, Ken Owens, Matthew Rees, (all Scarlets), Gavin Thomas, (Newport Gwent Dragons).

　　Backs: Leigh Halfpenny, Richie Rees, Jamie Roberts (all Cardiff Blues), Dan Biggar, Andrew Bishop, Lee Byrne, Mike Phillips, Tom Prydie (all Ospreys), Jonathan Davies, Stephen Jones, Tavis Knoyle (all Scarlets), Will Harries (Newport Gwent Dragons).

 这就是菊子曰啦！